They're all pretty much saying Joaquin will go out to sea as the European models predicted now, but we'll still see some heavy surf from it.
Problem for the East Coast now is the rain we're already getting with forecasts for the lower mid atlantic region to get a foot or more of rain thru the w/e. We're already having nor' easter conditions up here with tides running about two feet over normal levels. Not much of a problem for me unless this system stregthens and seawater levels rise up another two feet.
In any event, I am pretty much always prepared for these things, just got to tie down a few loose items around the deck later. And I've already began stocking up on the SA Oktoberfests as soon as they came out.
Still, can never have too many of those on hand...