The polls keep underestimating Trump big-time

[AlwaysWrite]

Why doesn't the lamestream media tell us that the polls they keep citing continue to UNDERESTIMATE Donald Trump outside the "margin of error"?

According to realclearpolitics.com, a source of political primary polls for each state, the following are the composite pre-primary polling averages and Trump's actual percentages for the past six primary states:

PENNSYLVANIA (48% polls, 58% actual)
MARYLAND (48%, 57%)
CONNECTICUT (53%, 59%)
RHODE ISLAND (52% 65%)
DELAWARE (55%, 63%)
NEW YORK (53%, 60%)

The current polling for Indiana has Trump at 39.1% ... but don't be surprised when Trump once again outperforms the often-inaccurate polls.

 

[Greg T.]

Why doesn't the lamestream media tell us that the polls they keep citing continue to UNDERESTIMATE Donald Trump outside the "margin of error"?

According to realclearpolitics.com, a source of political primary polls for each state, the following are the composite pre-primary polling averages and Trump's actual percentages for the past six primary states:

PENNSYLVANIA (48% polls, 58% actual)
MARYLAND (48%, 57%)
CONNECTICUT (53%, 59%)
RHODE ISLAND (52% 65%)
DELAWARE (55%, 63%)
NEW YORK (53%, 60%)

The current polling for Indiana has Trump at 39.1% ... but don't be surprised when Trump once again outperforms the often-inaccurate polls.

Mind games.

 

[Good Times Good Times]

The current polling for Indiana has Trump at 39.1% ... but don't be surprised when Trump once again outperforms the often-inaccurate polls.

Outperforms the polls? Did you take your meds today? He's clearly the fav in Indiana. Everyone knows he's going to win there (which is all that matters).

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ana_republican_presidential_primary-5786.html

 

[AlwaysWrite]

Dear GTGT:

I was just pointing out that the polls continue to consistently understate Trump's performances outside of the stated "margin of error."

I wasn't pointing out whether Trump wins or loses. Everyone knew that Trump would sweep the five primaries last week ... BUT none of the polls indicated that he would win by such margins.

 

[Good Times Good Times]

BUT none of the polls indicated that he would win by such margins.

There are a ton of variables in things like that, with so much sample size involved (electorate turnout). To be fair, voter turnout can be very difficult to accurately project.

Regardless, and I say this as someone who doesn't support Trump, that only the scoreboard matters. F the projections.

What I'm saying is, Vegas builds skyscrapers to the clouds on WINNERS.....but sometimes even they will have a 1.5 point spread.........and the game be a 30 point blowout.

 

[AlwaysWrite]

There are a ton of variables in things like that, with so much sample size involved (electorate turnout).

... but some pundits and "experts" keep pointing to polls that minimize Trump (including those that say he can't beat Hillary), whereas the REAL POLLS THAT MATTER involve the votes cast by the people.

Of course, there are such things as "delegate manipulation" and "insider politics" ... but that's another story.

 

[Good Times Good Times]

... but some pundits and "experts" keep pointing to polls that minimize Trump (including those that say he can't beat Hillary)

So? Don't worry about the "experts" and pundits. Life is better w/o all that.

whereas the REAL POLLS THAT MATTER involve the votes cast by the people.

I completely agree.

Of course, there are such things as "delegate manipulation" and "insider politics" ... but that's another story.

Yes.

 

[AlwaysWrite]

So? Don't worry about the "experts" and pundits. Life is better w/o all that.

Dear Good Times Good Times:

Personally, I don't "worry" about the pundits, but I certainly notice the bias in their presentation of polling and other "information." And as for polls, only rarely should they yield results outside "the margin of error" ... and certainly they shouldn't be outside of "the margin of error" in six (or more) consecutive states.

 

[Greg T.]

I still don't know why we're bothering to go thru the motions. One state already fucked him over, and GOP has openly said they will not give him the nod regardless of the number of delegates received.

 

[AlwaysWrite]

I still don't know why we're bothering to go thru the motions. One state already fucked him over, and GOP has openly said they will not give him the nod regardless of the number of delegates received.

True ... so does the vote of the PEOPLE count (or mean anything at all)?

 

[Greg T.]

True ... so does the vote of the PEOPLE count (or mean anything at all)?

I've been saying it for years. NO. We The People mean nothing. Voting is a way to make us feel needed and important. It keeps our focus away from the truth.

 

[AlwaysWrite]

I've been saying it for years. NO. We The People mean nothing. Voting is a way to make us feel needed and important. It keeps our focus away from the truth.

Dear Greg T:

As you are probably aware, such things as the stock-market and unemployment figures are also being manipulated to make the American sheeple feel good.

 

[Greg T.]

Dear Greg T:

As you are probably aware, such things as the stock-market and unemployment figures are also being manipulated to make the American sheeple feel good.

Absolutely! The artificially inflated economy will crash very soon. I am seriously considering closing my accounts and stuffing my money under the mattress until this blows over.

 

[AlwaysWrite]

Absolutely! The artificially inflated economy will crash very soon. I am seriously considering closing my accounts and stuffing my money under the mattress until this blows over.

... but with such a huge national debt, what if it DOESN'T "blow over"?

 

[Greg T.]

... but with such a huge national debt, what if it DOESN'T "blow over"?

We know it's going to crash. That is a given. The entire economy and market WILL go down soon. From there we will either become a socialist state or a dictatorship.....OOOOOOOORRRRRRRRRRR, begin to build our economy back. It's going to depend upon who is in the WH next term.

 

[Good Times Good Times]

We know it's going to crash. That is a given. The entire economy and market WILL go down soon.

Gimme some dates/projection to look for this where it will be undeniable. When will it happen?